The Padres Come to Town: A Series Preview

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Padres: 13-19 Record
lester 79The record says it all at first glance. But on a closer look, the stats tell a little different story. As a team they are hitting .237 with a .294 OBP. They rank 23rd out of 30 teams in hitting in the majors. However, when it comes to pitching, the stats tell a different story. They have a team ERA of 4.14. Most of that high ERA comes from the bullpen. They rank ninth in strikeouts in all of MLB with 258, just behind the Cubs 260.

After this past week, the fear from many Cubs fans is a let down. I don’t see that happening. This Cubs team is not other teams from the past. Don’t even try to compare them, either. They are laser focused and the coaching staff will not let them think of anything else, even the Pirates coming to town this weekend.

The biggest stat that points to the Cubs having a good series is that the Padres’ batters lead the league in Ks with 307. Cubs hitters are 13th with only 234. I think that bodes well for the Cubs. Cubs pitcher will dominate a Padres’ lineup laden with former stars who never quite hit their peak in Matt Kemp, Melvin Upton, and Will Myers.

Monday – 7:05 p.m.
Jon Lester (3-1, 1.58 ERA) vs Cesar Vargas (0-1, 1.10 ERA)
Advantage: Cubs

Tuesday – 7:05 p.m.
Kyle Hendricks (2-2, 3.10 ERA) vs Colin Rea (3-1, 3.82 ERA)
Advantage: Cubs

Wednesday – 7:05 p.m.
John Lackey (4-1, 4.02 ERA) vs Drew Pomeranz (3-3, 2.12)
Advantage: Cubs

When the series ends, the Cubs should have three more wins to put them at 27-6. I find that to be a most amazing stat. Even more, I find that the expectation for the Cubs to sweep is even more absurd. When I sit down to watch, I know that they should win every game everyday. They won’t, but I can believe they can

3 Things to Think About
1. Jon Lester – He sets the tone tonight and I think he will have his best game as a Cub, weather permitting.
2. The Rain – Inclement weather will be dogging this series, especially on Tuesday.
3. Catchers – They have to be beaten up at this point. Ross, while still effective, seems to be slowing down as he takes on a larger role on defense and in the lineup.


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