Draft Profile: Alex Scherff Involves a Lot of Risk as a Pick

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By Todd Johnson

It has been awhile since we profiled a high school player, let alone a prep pitcher. However, Alex Scherff warrants that attention. He’s what they call, “a big boy.” At 6’4” and 205 pounds, Scherff fits the mold of a Texas prep flamethrower. Inherent in that statement is a lot of risk to take in the first round.

Over the past two years, Scherff transformed himself by losing almost 40 pounds. And in doing so, he went from an 86-88 mph fastball to a mid-90s heater. That experience has him enamored by some scouts for his willingness to change.

Selecting a prep arm is very risky. Usually, there’s a lot of mileage on said arm. As for Scherff, that is true. He’s been pitching forever and a day. So, if the Cubs select him at the back of the first round, the club takes on every pitch he’s ever thrown. Then again, they also take on every pitch he’s going to throw, too.

Scouts loved him in 2016 with his newly sculpted frame. They loved his ability to maintain velocity due to his excellent conditioning. His changeup is a plus offering, but his curveball needs a lot of help. In the old days, we would have referred to his curveball as “fresh meat.”

The curve can be refined. With two plus pitches in tow, one of which can top out at 97, Scherff is likely a late first round/early second round pick. He shouldn’t be around at the end of the second with all his talent.

Alex Scherff – Photo by Perfect Game

This Week’s Profile
6’4” and 205 lbs
Bats: Right
Throws: Right
Committed to Texas A&M

Strengths:
Big Frame – Lost 40 pounds in 2016
Velocity in the mid-90s
Well conditioned now
Changeup fade

Areas of Concern
Signability
Command
Moved around a lot in high school
Stiff delivery

What Others Say
MLB Pipeline ranks him at #41 in their top 50 draft prospects. They said of his arsenal:

His fastball jumped from the high 80s during the summer of 2015 to a consistent 93-95 mph with a peak of 97 a year later. He attributes the increase in velocity to better conditioning, as his heater took off once he dropped 40 pounds.

Scherff has one of the best changeups in the high school ranks, throwing it with deceptive arm speed and fade and earning plus grades from some evaluators. His three-quarters breaking ball is slurvy and lacks consistency, but he has flashed at least a solid slider at times. The Texas A&M recruit doesn’t have the most fluid delivery, which sometimes affects his control and leads to some debate over whether he’ll be a starter or reliever at the big league level.

The Cubs have never drafted a prep arm in the first round in the Theo era. I do not see that changing. If he slides down to round two, they could easily take him there.

Upcoming Draft Profile
Draft Profile – Ranking the profiles

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One thought on “Draft Profile: Alex Scherff Involves a Lot of Risk as a Pick

    […] Prep players Ricardo de la Torre Mark Vientos Nick Storz Mitchell Stone Garrett Mitchell Hagan Danner Nick Allen Nick Pratto Alex Scherff […]

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